Long-term shortage of food and live animals


  • Agricultural shortages

Nature

The remarkable increases in food production in industrial and developing countries in 1970s and 1980s have come in part at the expense of soil and water resources. There are no major new technologies waiting in the wings to improve the food output. Food scarcity and higher prices may dominate the 1990s.

Incidence

The long-term shortage of food and live animals is a pressing global issue, with statistics showing the severity of the problem. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), approximately 820 million people around the world suffer from chronic hunger, with 60% of them residing in Asia and Africa. Furthermore, the FAO estimates that 14% of food produced globally is lost between harvest and retail, exacerbating the shortage of food for those in need. In terms of live animals, the World Wildlife Fund reports that the population of mammals, birds, fish, reptiles, and amphibians has declined by 60% since 1970, due to factors such as habitat loss and overexploitation. These alarming statistics underscore the urgent need for sustainable solutions to address the shortage of food and live animals on a global scale.
Source: ChatGPT v3.5

Claim

  1. Improvements are unlikely. Our past success has brought us alarmingly close to the ecological ceiling. There is a growing sense in the scientific community that it will be difficult to restore the rapid rise in agricultural yields we saw between 1950 and 1984. In agriculturally advanced nations there just isn't much more that farmers can do.

  2. Humanity already uses, destroys, or "co-opts" almost 40 percent of the potential output from terrestrial photosynthesis. Doubling the world's population will reduce us to fighting with insects over the last scraps of grass.

Counter-claim

While there may be localized instances of food and live animal shortages, it is important to consider the advancements in agriculture and livestock production that have greatly increased food availability worldwide. Through innovations in farming techniques, genetic modification, and distribution networks, many regions have been able to mitigate the effects of shortages. Additionally, the global market allows for food and animals to be imported and exported to areas in need. Therefore, while there may be temporary challenges in certain areas, the overall food and live animal supply on a global scale remains stable.
Source: ChatGPT v3.5


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